Please note: For the sections that follow, red text is used to highlight additions and changes to the original scenario narratives that were developed in 2010. 5.1 Scenario 1: Local Fortress Introduction As originally conceived in 2010, the Local Fortress Scenario described a future where gateway growth is constrained because the Lower Mainland focuses on the regional economy, local resiliency and well- being. This drive to focus more locally was in response to additional global economic crises and a slowdown in Asian growth which depressed global trade worldwide. Therefore, gateway activity is downsized in the original scenario with short-sea shipping and regional trade doing well. This was further supported by the localization of manufacturing, specifically through 3D printing. The collapse of the Canadian real-estate bubble was a theme of the original scenario and in the drive toward greater inward focus, the gateway was described as becoming much less global and less tolerant of world views. Participants in the December workshop initially had difficulty seeing this scenario as plausible. However, through further discussion they did envisage a future where such significant inward focus and reduced global trade could occur. In arriving at that conclusion, there were some variations to key themes suggested by the participants. These suggestions included: • The Lower Mainland would never completely transform into a solely service / tourism based industry and lose its roots as hub for trade. Port 2050 Scenario Update Initiative - 2015 21