Through the detailed and collaborative process followed for identifying updates to the Port 2050 scenarios, it has been confirmed the Capacity of the Gateway axis continues to be one of the most critical uncertainties and remains largely unchanged. Having said that, it follows that the various updates to the drivers grouped under this supply-side axis also flow through to the definition of this axis. For example, there is greater emphasis on the uncertainly around gateway actors working together to achieve alignment across industry, communities and all levels of government, thereby improving regional supply chain efficiency and overall gateway competitiveness. The updates to the Global Prosperity Model Axis were more substantial and involved strengthening the linkage between the transition to alternative prosperity models and the energy transition, as well as emphasizing the importance of economic drivers to precipitate the transition. As for the other axis, the updates made to the demand-side drivers flow through to the respective Global Prosperity Model axis. The various changes to the axes are described in more detail in the remainder of this section. 4.1 Capacity of the Gateway As originally conceived in 2010, this axis was seen to be focused on the gateway and the region more broadly, rather than the global environment. The two extremes for how this axis could play out, also called “end-points” (as shown in the above diagram) of the axis, were described as: • “Adaptive/Increasing” Capacity of the Gateway: at this end-point, the capacity of the gateway was seen to be adaptive and/or increasing, meaning the gateway is able to respond, adapt, cooperate and thrive in changing circumstances. • “Constrained/Decreasing” Capacity of the Gateway: at this end-point, the capacity of the gateway was seen to be constrained and/or decreasing. In scenarios on this end of the axis, the gateway as a whole is challenged by any number of factors – both internal and external – that limit its ability to adapt, grow and be successful. Summary of Updates Feedback from stakeholder and expert interviews, workshop participants, and Port Metro Vancouver leadership indicated that this axis remains relevant, and that no major revisions to the axis were required. The feedback on the axis, along with the updates to the key drivers of change which are considered to form a part of this axis, did however indicate several key themes which are relevant to this axis. Those themes include: • The lack of available industrial land for the expansion of the gateway supply chain is more certain • The ability of gateway stakeholders and regional actors to develop an integrated and efficient supply chain is seen as key to increasing the capacity of the gateway and its competitive positioning • Alignment of various gateway stakeholders and the stakeholders’ ability to create a shared vision and strategy for achieving an efficient and integrated supply chain is seen as critical • Public support to operate and grow is seen as an increasingly important factor and the opportunity for the port to be a focal point of alignment and engagement was also discussed – a particular challenge highlighted was that there appears to be a disconnect in how society views the role of resource development and trade in Canada’s success and growth In light of the themes noted above, the definition of this axis and its endpoints were revised to incorporate a greater emphasis on the importance of creating an integrated and efficient supply chain, and creating alignment between the gateway’s stakeholders and regional actors (including: industry, government, Port 2050 Scenario Update Initiative - 2015 16
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