An event or an era? Contents Introduction 04 What we mean by scenario planning 05 What we know so far 06 What is still uncertain 07 How to read (and how not to read) the scenarios 09 What are the critical axes of uncertainty 10 The scenarios 11 What to do with the scenarios 20 Takeaways for the social sector 22 Conclusion 23 Endnotes and additional resources 24 Interviewee acknowledgements 25 03